SA's future in the balance
Dec. 15th, 2007 08:12 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
mahnmut
ANC is going to elect its new president on its conference, the result being expected to come on Monday. It's now a two-horse race, Mbeki vs Zuma. Ultimately, the winner takes it all, and will be the next South African president after the 2009 elections, because of ANC's electoral domination. And the race is now heating up. Curiously, a sangoma predicted a Mbeki victory while the registration began for the Polokwane conference amidst a new scandal, following the renewal of the corruption charges against Zuma. Meanwhile, long-time finance minister (and wannabe World Bank chairman) Trevor Manuel, who has been the man "to blame" for South Africa's remarkable economic stability within the past decade, was involved into one of the many scandals surrounding the pre-conference preparations. The question is, would he stay in the government if Zuma wins the election as it is expected? This looks highly unlikely. The consequences from a Zuma victory are rather unpredictable. And a Zuma victory looks more probable than ever, despite all the punches under the belt that he's been taking. Even Tutu opposed him, but all the efforts of Mbeki's camp seem to be too little, too late. But it's still curious enough whether there will be even more tricks coming out of Mbeki's sleeve as he is making the final push before the ANC conference. It's gonna be a damn good circus...
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(no subject)
Date: 2007-12-16 09:19 am (UTC)A lot of ink has been spilled over Zuma, but i think all analysts are actually missing smth. It doesnt matter much what the person says now, before the elections. You just wait for him to sit on the chair and you'll see what a metamorphosis he'll instantly undergo. What i'm saying is, the current popullist, left-leaning Zuma will be unrecognizable as soon as the powerful interests sitting behind him, start to excercise their influence on his policies.